Unintended Consequences: Bankruptcy Cram Down May Actually Case Decrease in Bankruptcy Filings

With the proposed amendments to the Bankruptcy Code placed on temporary hold by Congress until at least late April, it seems appropriate to take a step back and examine the possible unintended consequences of the passage of such a law.

While providing troubled borrowers with an effective tool to rework their mortgage terms under the protection of the Bankruptcy Code, is it possible that the mere threat of such a modification by a borrower could lead an increasing number of lenders to agree to rework the loan terms outside of the bankruptcy process?

Debtor’s counsel have always operated with the knowledge that, while they have the ability to tie up a pending foreclosure for months or even years by aggressively opposing the case, the reality has always been that mortgage lenders held the upper hand once a Chapter 13 bankruptcy was filed. A borrower could not alter the terms of the loan, but could only seek breathing room to bring delinquent payments current.

If the proposed amendments become a reality, the leverage will clearly shift into the borrower’s favor, which may lead more and more lenders to seek a negotiated modification prior to bankruptcy, saving both sides from litigating over valuation of the home and risking assessment prior to plan confirmation.  The end result could be a decrease in Chapter 13 filings within the pool of borrowers who, but for their mortgage delinquency, might not be in financial difficulty.

Of course, the flip side to this argument would be that with all the economic indicators clearly showing a downturn, the actual number of borrowers whose only financial difficulty consists of their mortgage, is likely becoming smaller and smaller each month.  Therefore, it is likely that even with the offer of a voluntary loan modification by the lender, the vast majority of borrowers will still seek bankruptcy relief.

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